BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Forest City
Class: 3A Class Rank: 13 Conference: (14-0) Overall: (20-2) Overall Strength = 78.22
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 12/03/2002 Home L 68.15 50 56 3A 22 (17- 6) Webster City -10.13 4.13
2 12/06/2002 Home W 68.55 62 59 3A 43 ( 7-15) Cresco Crestwood -9.72 12.72
3 12/13/2002 Home W * 92.72 72 21 2A 123 ( 2-19) Belmond-Klemme 14.44 * 36.56
4 12/17/2002 Away W * 80.89 50 29 1A 61 ( 9-12) North Iowa 2.61 18.39
5 12/20/2002 Home W * 71.53 71 51 2A 102 ( 8-15) Mason City Newman -6.75 26.75
6 12/21/2002 Away W 71.26 57 34 3A 63 ( 1-21) Estherville LC -7.01 * 30.01
7 01/07/2003 Home W * 86.85 54 33 2A 46 (16- 6) Lake Mills 8.57 12.43
8 01/10/2003 Away W * 68.60 50 43 2A 76 ( 9-12) Britt West Hancock -9.67 16.67
9 01/11/2003 Away W 77.95 62 53 3A 42 ( 8-13) Clear Lake -0.33 9.33
10 01/17/2003 Home W * 71.70 46 41 2A 47 (12- 9) Garner-Hayfield -6.58 11.58
11 01/18/2003 Home W 84.03 76 56 3A 48 ( 8-13) Charles City 5.76 14.24
12 01/24/2003 Away W * 71.96 68 41 2A 123 ( 2-19) Belmond-Klemme -6.32 * 33.32
13 01/25/2003 Home W 81.77 56 43 3A 35 ( 9-13) Algona 3.50 9.50
14 01/31/2003 Home W * 78.64 51 29 1A 61 ( 9-12) North Iowa 0.37 21.63
15 02/07/2003 Away W * 77.10 46 38 2A 46 (16- 6) Lake Mills -1.18 9.18
16 02/11/2003 Home W * 89.36 67 36 2A 76 ( 9-12) Britt West Hancock 11.08 19.92
17 02/14/2003 Away W * 72.94 63 60 2A 47 (12- 9) Garner-Hayfield -5.33 8.33
18 02/17/2003 Unknown W * 88.16 63 52 2A 34 (17- 5) Osage 9.89 1.11
19 02/18/2003 Away W * 66.77 76 64 2A 102 ( 8-15) Mason City Newman -11.50 23.50
20 02/21/2003 Home W * 82.29 56 46 2A 34 (17- 5) Osage 4.02 5.98
21 02/25/2003 Away W 97.65 69 54 4A 25 (11-11) Mason City 19.37 -4.37
22 03/03/2003 Home L 73.19 44 46 3A 19 (16- 8) Humboldt -5.09 3.09
Averages 78.28 59.5 44.8
Best game: 97.65 = 15 point win over Mason City
Worst game: 66.77 = 12 point win over Mason City Newman
Team stdev: 8.74